
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & 0.170         & 0.024        & -0.060         & -0.034        &                & -0.139         & -0.010\\   
                                                              & (0.125)       & (0.037)      & (0.042)        & (0.121)       &                & (0.099)        & (0.131)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.075        & 0.077        & 0.004          & 0.256$^{**}$  &                & -0.317$^{**}$  & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.088)       & (0.050)      & (0.037)        & (0.093)       &                & (0.110)        & (0.121)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.162$^{*}$   & -0.006       & -0.082$^{*}$   & 0.037         &                & -0.084         & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.062)       & (0.062)      & (0.034)        & (0.074)       &                & (0.079)        & (0.086)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & 0.170         & 0.024        & -0.060         & -0.034        &                & -0.139         & -0.010\\   
                                                              & (0.125)       & (0.037)      & (0.042)        & (0.121)       &                & (0.099)        & (0.131)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.075        & 0.077        & 0.004          & 0.256$^{**}$  &                & -0.317$^{**}$  & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.088)       & (0.050)      & (0.037)        & (0.093)       &                & (0.110)        & (0.121)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.162$^{*}$   & -0.006       & -0.082$^{*}$   & 0.037         &                & -0.084         & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.062)       & (0.062)      & (0.034)        & (0.074)       &                & (0.079)        & (0.086)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & 0.170         & 0.024        & -0.060         & -0.034        &                & -0.139         & -0.010\\   
                                                              & (0.125)       & (0.037)      & (0.042)        & (0.121)       &                & (0.099)        & (0.131)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.075        & 0.077        & 0.004          & 0.256$^{**}$  &                & -0.317$^{**}$  & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.088)       & (0.050)      & (0.037)        & (0.093)       &                & (0.110)        & (0.121)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.162$^{*}$   & -0.006       & -0.082$^{*}$   & 0.037         &                & -0.084         & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.062)       & (0.062)      & (0.034)        & (0.074)       &                & (0.079)        & (0.086)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & 0.170         & 0.024        & -0.060         & -0.034        &                & -0.139         & -0.010\\   
                                                              & (0.125)       & (0.037)      & (0.042)        & (0.121)       &                & (0.099)        & (0.131)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.075        & 0.077        & 0.004          & 0.256$^{**}$  &                & -0.317$^{**}$  & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.088)       & (0.050)      & (0.037)        & (0.093)       &                & (0.110)        & (0.121)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.162$^{*}$   & -0.006       & -0.082$^{*}$   & 0.037         &                & -0.084         & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.062)       & (0.062)      & (0.034)        & (0.074)       &                & (0.079)        & (0.086)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & 0.170         & 0.024        & -0.060         & -0.034        &                & -0.139         & -0.010\\   
                                                              & (0.125)       & (0.037)      & (0.042)        & (0.121)       &                & (0.099)        & (0.131)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.075        & 0.077        & 0.004          & 0.256$^{**}$  &                & -0.317$^{**}$  & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.088)       & (0.050)      & (0.037)        & (0.093)       &                & (0.110)        & (0.121)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.162$^{*}$   & -0.006       & -0.082$^{*}$   & 0.037         &                & -0.084         & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.062)       & (0.062)      & (0.034)        & (0.074)       &                & (0.079)        & (0.086)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & 0.170         & 0.024        & -0.060         & -0.034        &                & -0.139         & -0.010\\   
                                                              & (0.125)       & (0.037)      & (0.042)        & (0.121)       &                & (0.099)        & (0.131)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.075        & 0.077        & 0.004          & 0.256$^{**}$  &                & -0.317$^{**}$  & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.088)       & (0.050)      & (0.037)        & (0.093)       &                & (0.110)        & (0.121)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.162$^{*}$   & -0.006       & -0.082$^{*}$   & 0.037         &                & -0.084         & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.062)       & (0.062)      & (0.034)        & (0.074)       &                & (0.079)        & (0.086)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd           & fdp          & gruene         & linke\_pds    & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)           & (2)          & (3)            & (4)           & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.058         & 0.0004       & -0.039         & -0.112        & 0.440          & -0.343$^{*}$   & 0.441$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.051)       & (0.050)      & (0.027)        & (0.098)       & (0.231)        & (0.155)        & (0.184)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.167         & 0.058        & -0.222$^{**}$  & -0.010        & 0.585$^{**}$   & -0.389$^{***}$ & 0.501$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.117)       & (0.065)      & (0.069)        & (0.138)       & (0.214)        & (0.097)        & (0.193)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & -0.003        & -0.001       & 0.002          & -0.001        &                & 0.013$^{**}$   & -0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.006)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.006)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.005         & -0.002       & -0.0009        & -0.012$^{**}$ &                & 0.015$^{**}$   & -0.0005\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       &                & (0.005)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & -0.003        & 0.003        & 0.003          & -0.003        &                & 0.003          & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.003)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.004)        & (0.005)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & 0.001         & -0.003       & -0.0005        & -0.0003       & -0.010         & 0.017$^{*}$    & -0.013\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.001)        & (0.005)       & (0.011)        & (0.007)        & (0.009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.006        & -0.004       & 0.005          & 0.001         & -0.007         & 0.008          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.006)       & (0.011)        & (0.005)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.003         & -0.006       & -0.007$^{*}$   & 0.016         &                & 0.015          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.004)      & (0.003)        & (0.013)       &                & (0.007)        & (0.012)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.018$^{*}$   & -0.004       & -0.004         & -0.006        &                & 0.012          & -0.009\\   
                                                              & (0.008)       & (0.003)      & (0.004)        & (0.007)       &                & (0.006)        & (0.010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.005        & -0.002       & 0.006$^{*}$    & -0.005        &                & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.006\\   
                                                              & (0.003)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.003)       &                & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.009$^{*}$  & 0.005$^{**}$ & -0.008$^{***}$ & 0.009         & -0.015         & 0.007          & -0.008\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.002)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{**}$ & 0.005$^{*}$  & 0.018$^{***}$  & 0.009         & -0.025$^{*}$   & 0.002          & -0.018$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.002)      & (0.003)        & (0.005)       & (0.009)        & (0.005)        & (0.008)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.051$^{***}$ & 0.009        & 0.0005         & -0.007        & -0.024         & -0.016         & -0.036\\   
                                                              & (0.014)       & (0.005)      & (0.007)        & (0.013)       & (0.026)        & (0.013)        & (0.019)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.004        & 0.005        & 0.006          & 0.008         & -0.008         & -0.009         & -0.004\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.005)        & (0.014)       & (0.028)        & (0.007)        & (0.015)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & -0.007        & 0.001        & -0.0005        & -0.023$^{*}$  & 0.030          & 0.005          & 0.026$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.009)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.033         & -0.025       & 0.083$^{**}$   & 0.053         & -0.083         & 0.014          & -0.167$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.040)       & (0.016)      & (0.025)        & (0.036)       & (0.061)        & (0.020)        & (0.053)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.003         & 0.0009       & 0.014$^{*}$    & -0.009        & -0.029         & 0.022$^{**}$   & -0.040$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.005)       & (0.004)      & (0.007)        & (0.011)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.016)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002        & 0.0002       & 0.001          & 0.003         & -0.002         & -0.0010        & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.002)       & (0.001)      & (0.001)        & (0.002)       & (0.006)        & (0.003)        & (0.004)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.022$^{**}$  & -0.003       & 0.0002         & -0.001        & 0.005          & -0.0007        & -0.015\\   
                                                              & (0.007)       & (0.003)      & (0.003)        & (0.009)       & (0.015)        & (0.007)        & (0.011)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & -0.008$^{*}$  & 0.001        & 0.003          & 0.004         & -0.054$^{***}$ & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)       & (0.001)      & (0.002)        & (0.004)       & (0.010)        & (0.003)        & (0.005)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes           & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 378           & 378          & 378            & 378           & 225            & 378            & 378\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.994         & 0.985        & 0.980          & 0.985         & 0.986          & 0.992          & 0.987\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.298         & 0.281        & 0.780          & 0.338         & 0.659          & 0.307          & 0.606\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}


